Lebanon public opinion increasingly divided over framework agreement, security situation

Lebanon 04-07-2026 | 08:52

Lebanon public opinion increasingly divided over framework agreement, security situation

Heightened political and security tensions continue in Lebanon amid disputes over the Lebanese Israeli framework agreement, ongoing Israeli ceasefire violations in the south, and escalating domestic rhetoric between state officials and opposition voices warning of national repercussions.

Lebanon public opinion increasingly divided over framework agreement, security situation
The Lebanese flag is raised on the Beirut waterfront after the departure of displaced people and the removal of tents (Hossam Shbaro).
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During the waiting period for the start of implementing the framework agreement between Lebanon and Israel, during which the United States military side is carrying out the necessary preparations to ensure the success of the two implementation zones experiment for deploying the Lebanese Army in those areas after the disarmament of armed groups and the withdrawal of Israeli forces, official Lebanon is awaiting the beginning of the Israeli withdrawal following the return of the commander of the United States Marine Corps in the Central region, Major General Joseph Clairfield, who is currently in Israel, to Lebanon to discuss post-handover procedures for the experimental areas and the timetable for withdrawal, in preparation for transferring them to the Lebanese Army.

 

At the same time, notable consequences are being recorded from the relative decline in combat and military operations in the south, as reports indicate the return of more than 640,000 displaced people out of more than one million counted by Lebanese authorities to their homes, according to figures published by the International Organization for Migration, amid a decrease in the intensity of confrontations between Hezbollah and Israel. The International Organization for Migration stated in a report published on Thursday that 646,107 returning displaced persons were reported, while around 500,000 people remain displaced, based on data collected in coordination with local authorities since 22 June.

 

However, the relative de-escalation in the field situation in the south has not overshadowed ongoing attempts by Hezbollah to keep political instability dominant inside the country through increasing media and political escalation. These attempts witnessed yesterday a highly negative breach of red lines by involving the senior Jaafari Mufti Sheikh Ahmad Kabalan in a verbal campaign against the President of the Republic, carrying all the signs of rhetorical decline and an attack on the highest constitutional, moral, and official authority in the country.

 

It has become clear that attempts at escalation, tension raising, and media and political mobilization are now warning of a serious deterioration in the internal atmosphere. This comes even though the Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri and the former leader of the Progressive Socialist Party Walid Jumblatt have blocked the way for Hezbollah from forming a political front rejecting the Lebanese Israeli agreement in an effort to bring it down in a manner similar to the experience of the May 17, 1983 agreement.

 

The latest advanced positions expressed yesterday by the President of the Republic Joseph Aoun reflected the delicate level the situation has reached amid escalating campaigns against the authority and the agreement. It was notable that President Aoun raised the level of explanation and defense of the state position regarding the agreement to its highest point, as shown by his unusually sharp criticism for the first time of those he described as people who are accustomed to being under guardianship.

 

In a series of additional prominent statements before several delegations that visited Baabda in support of the state option, President Aoun stressed that the framework formula does not legitimize the continuation of the Israeli occupation in Lebanon as is being claimed. He explained that the relevant clause refers to enabling the Lebanese Army to extend its control over the entire Lebanese territory. He questioned whether it is reasonable for the army to extend its authority over all land while an Israeli occupation is still present.

 

He pointed out that the absence of a timetable for implementing the provisions of the formula is due to the fact that what was signed is not an agreement but rather a framework, and a framework generally addresses broad principles and does not include implementation details.

 

He also affirmed that this formula reached is not ideal but represents the best possible option. He said that the goal of all parties is to achieve Israeli withdrawal. He added that some have tried to achieve this through military means without success, and therefore the diplomatic option should be given a chance.

 

He considered that strength is not only the ability to wage war or ensure its continuation, but also the courage to end it through negotiation, which he described as a battle without bloodshed, whereas war is negotiation through blood.

 

He further stated that the problem lies with some parties regarding the sovereign decision that has been taken to separate the Lebanese track from the Iranian American track. He asked what sovereignty means to these parties and what kind of sovereignty they are referring to. He emphasized that Lebanon is a sovereign country with the ability to resolve its problems, but unfortunately some have become accustomed to being under guardianship that controls, decides, and negotiates on its behalf. He concluded firmly that we have moved beyond that.

 

Meanwhile, Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri met with the Commander of the Lebanese Army, General Rodolphe Haykal, to discuss recent developments, particularly the security situation, in light of Israel’s continued attacks and violations of the ceasefire, in addition to the conditions of the military institution.

 

At the same time, the campaign of the so called axis of resistance appeared yesterday to have taken cover behind a sermon delivered by the senior Jaafari Mufti Sheikh Ahmad Kabalan, who stated that the current reality of the country is drowning in a renewed project to “Judaize Lebanon,” claiming that this form of “Judaization” is a thousand times more dangerous than the May 17 Agreement. He called on President Joseph Aoun to withdraw what he described as this national mistake into which the country has been dragged, arguing that Lebanon cannot withstand experimental or suicidal ventures.

 

He added that if the President takes pride in the words and principles of Imam Musa al Sadr, then he is the one who said that Israel is an absolute evil and a historical enemy based on aggression, occupation, betrayal, and terrorism. He further described the framework agreement as a historic national collapse that will not pass regardless of the cost.

 

He also said that nothing is more unusual than what he called this “submissive authority,” insisting it is an authority of surrender regardless of how labels are changed, describing it as incapable, paralyzed, and nonetheless insisting on acting as an agent at the expense of national interests. He concluded that instead of addressing Lebanon’s sovereign, financial, economic, health, and social needs, the authorities have become a national burden and a historic disaster.