The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding: a deal that leaves the region in suspense

Opinion 19-06-2026 | 08:22

The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding: a deal that leaves the region in suspense

Despite ending the immediate state of war, the agreement sidelines key regional security issues and postpones their resolution indefinitely.

The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding: a deal that leaves the region in suspense
Trump signing one of the orders. (Archive)
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No lasting results will emerge from the provisions of the US-Iranian memorandum of understanding before a period passes during which the world, and especially the Middle East, will discover the actual effects of what was agreed upon between the United States and Iran without taking into account the interests of the countries of the region.

 

The text revealed by the White House on Wednesday was drafted in 14 provisions written in general language in the form of headlines, all of which can be interpreted in more than one way and are open to multiple interpretations. This is Donald Trump’s formula for closing the chapter of war with Iran. In reality, it reflects his desire to get rid of a war that he saw as politically costly for him, especially in an election year.

 

More importantly, Trump, who always speaks in the language of quick financial gains, said in a press conference in the French city of Évian where the meeting of the Group of Seven industrialized countries was held, that “Iran is where the money is.” This means that he is not speaking in geopolitical terms but rather prioritizing the idea of making money quickly.

 

However, he leaves the region in a state of shock by excluding all the main provisions that formed the basis for his decision to go to war, leaving behind an ambiguous clause subject to negotiation, namely the Iranian nuclear program, while financial flows were immediately opened to Iran.

 

All the risks posed to the region by the Iranian regime were almost completely ignored, and Trump effectively removed himself from a war involving his partner Israel, which is now facing American pressure to withdraw from southern Lebanon and transferring the responsibility for disarming Hezbollah to the new Syrian government. This means that Trump came to the region and set it ablaze, then departed without extinguishing the fires he left behind.

 

Perhaps his remark from Évian that the issue of ballistic missiles threatening the region would be left to negotiations between Iran and regional countries indicates that he bypassed his allies and jumped directly toward a “deal” with Iran, “where the money is.” He even disregarded the views of many of his advisers and officials who opposed this “deal,” going so far as to describe those who opposed it as stupid.

 

The above suggests that the US president, despite saying that the option of returning to war remains on the table if Iran does not implement what was agreed, is not being realistic. He has shifted to a completely different position from the one he held at the beginning of this year, when a wave of popular protests began in Iran, which the regime crushed in blood.

 

Thus, betting that Trump will adjust his position regarding this deal, which at best can be described as very weak and which in most of its terms serves the interests of the Iranian regime at the expense of the entire region, is unrealistic.

 

Hence the region’s difficulty in accepting this memorandum, even though it ends a state of war that has exhausted everyone without exception. The continuation of war, or a state of neither war nor peace, could only have exhausted regional countries on all levels. Therefore, we say that ending the war is the most important achievement.

 

However, the issue remains highly complex because the problems and crises left unresolved by the deal are very significant. In other words, the agreement has put a number of crises on hold and postponed them indefinitely.

 

 

The four headlines under which President Trump launched a war on Iran in alliance with Israel were very clear.

 

 

First, ending the Iranian nuclear program.

 

Second, imposing major restrictions on the ballistic missile program that threatens the region and even Europe, with a range of up to 4,500 km in a circular radius, as well as long-range drones that threaten areas up to 3,000 km.

 

Third, cutting the arteries of Iran’s relations with its regional proxies in favor of strengthening the countries of the region.

 

And finally, pushing the Iranian regime to change its behavior internally after the massacre it committed in January across dozens of cities throughout Iran.

 

Based on the above, we say it is too early to talk about a good agreement for one fundamental reason: all the main issues that matter to the region and whose resolution is essential for its stability remain suspended indefinitely.

 

 

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by the writers are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Annahar.