Trump: Between the Hammer of Iran and the Anvil of His Supporters

Perhaps Trump took note of the negative reactions to reports about the memorandum of understanding. Surprisingly, the criticism did not come solely from the President’s opponents; some of his closest allies also led the wave of criticism, albeit in a measured manner.

For example, Republican Senator Ted Cruz voiced concern over reports surrounding the memorandum. In a post on X, he wrote that if the agreement results in “an Iranian regime — still run by Islamists chanting ‘Death to America’ — receiving billions of dollars, enriching uranium, developing nuclear weapons, and exercising effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, then it would be a catastrophic mistake.” Cruz also described the military outcome of the war as “exceptional.”

The Wall Street Journal reported that the memorandum amounted to a form of barter centered on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the U.S. easing its blockade on Iran.

This coincided with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announcing on Sunday afternoon that he had spoken with President Donald Trump, who, according to Netanyahu, reaffirmed “Israel’s right to defend itself against threats on all fronts, including Lebanon.” The statement appeared to contradict references in the leaked memorandum to a “halt to war on all fronts.”

Trump found himself in a difficult position. Facing criticism from his opponents was one thing; facing criticism from both his opponents and a significant segment of his supporters was another. That is why his post on Truth Social on Sunday at 10 a.m. local time drew particular attention.

In the opening line, Trump referenced the flaws of the Iran nuclear deal brokered by Barack Obama. It was hard not to interpret this as a message to his supporters that he would not sign a deal resembling the previous agreement — a point he later reiterated in a media interview. Trump also lashed out at the “losers” criticizing his moves, saying they had no understanding of the details of the negotiations.

This development suggests that media pressure on Trump could influence his future decisions regarding Iran. It is unlikely that such pressure will prevent him from signing a memorandum of understanding — or even a broader agreement — with Tehran.

However, it may slow any rush toward de-escalation aimed merely at securing a photo opportunity and declaring a superficial victory. While this pressure may not guarantee a strong deal, it could make it more difficult for Trump to negotiate with Tehran with complete freedom.