Iraq’s new government faces an old crisis as Iranian influence tightens grip on Baghdad

Opinion 20-05-2026 | 10:11

Iraq’s new government faces an old crisis as Iranian influence tightens grip on Baghdad

Iraq’s new government takes power amid deepening political paralysis, growing Iranian influence, and mounting public frustration over corruption, failing services, and the absence of accountability—raising fresh questions about whether Baghdad’s post-2003 political system can still survive.

Iraq’s new government faces an old crisis as Iranian influence tightens grip on Baghdad
New Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi. (AFP)
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A new Iraqi government has recently been formed under the leadership of Ali al-Zaidi, who acknowledged in his first speech, following his government’s vote of confidence, the state of “slackness” affecting a country still searching for a different political system.

 

The search for such a system has continued since the collapse of Saddam Hussein’s Baathist family regime in April 2003, following a war launched against it by the United States. As time passes, it is becoming increasingly clear that Iraq is facing a systemic crisis threatening the country’s reconstruction process and its various components.

 

 

Despite the boldness of the new Prime Minister in addressing the current situation and Iraq’s challenges on every front, there is no indication that his government will be able to steer the country in a different direction. This still-incomplete government appears, more than anything else, to be a government of the unknown. This is underscored by the complete absence of the expertise needed to properly manage major projects, away from the deals and commissions that have become an integral part of the system in place for the past twenty-three years.

 

 

It is clear that no one in Iraq will be held accountable. Former Prime Minister Muhammad Shia' al-Sudani spoke of the “achievements” his government had made during the four years in which he was the country’s leading official. But who can expose the fact that these achievements are nonexistent on the ground and initiate a process of accountability against al-Sudani and his government within the House of Representatives?

 

Absent accountability

It seems that such accountability is absent from the Iraqi political lexicon, just as citizens’ freedom was absent from the practices of Saddam Hussein’s regime. Muhammad Shia' al-Sudani inherited a treasury strengthened, at least numerically, by what Mustafa al-Kadhimi’s government had achieved. Nothing better reflects the state of Iraq than the words of Ali al-Zaidi about heavy financial burdens, corruption, a sharp decline in services, and widening social disparities.

 

 

It is not unlikely that Ali al-Zaidi’s statement will remain nothing more than rhetoric about an unsolvable reality. The circumstances surrounding his appointment as Prime Minister came after a visit to Baghdad by Ismail Qaani, commander of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. Qaani arrived to settle disputes among the leaders of the “Coordinating Framework” and to find a successor to Muhammad Shia' al-Sudani, while also ensuring that the Iraqi government remained under Iranian influence to carry out Tehran’s demands.

 

 

Iraq is genuinely suffering from political bankruptcy at every level. This bankruptcy, experienced by Kurds, Sunnis, and Shiites alike, is perhaps best reflected in the appointment of Nizar Amidi to the presidency. Amidi carries little political weight, whether Kurdish, Iraqi, or regional, and can barely be considered part of the country’s second- or third-tier leadership, even among the Kurds.

What applies to the President also applies to the Sunni Speaker of Parliament, Haybat al-Halbusi. The same can be said of the Prime Minister, who emerged from the circle of businessmen and financiers tied to contracts with state institutions—contracts that remain highly controversial.

 

It can be said that the Iraqi system has moved steadily toward a point where it may no longer be sustainable, leaving it with no choice but to declare its bankruptcy.

 

 

One cannot ignore the fact that the “Coordinating Framework,” which constitutes the largest parliamentary bloc, would not have been able to reach a consensus among its leaders and nominate Ali al-Zaidi as Prime Minister without direct Iranian intervention through the commander of the Quds Force, Ismail Qaani, the successor to Qasem Soleimani.

Moreover, the “Framework” was unable to overcome the veto imposed by Donald Trump on Nouri al-Maliki returning to the position of Prime Minister.

 

Future of the system

Much will ultimately depend on the outcome of the ongoing conflict involving Iran on one side and the United States and Israel on the other. This is because the future of Iraq’s current political system is closely tied to the future of the Iranian regime and its ability to maintain influence in Baghdad.

 

 

Tehran may be able to prolong the life of the Iraqi regime, but this cannot continue indefinitely, as every component of Iraq faces its own deepening problems. These crises are worsening by the day, particularly in the absence of a clear political project capable of uniting Iraqis, who continue to suffer from the existence of a “state within a state” represented by the Iranian-backed sectarian militias known as the “Popular Mobilization Forces.”

 

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by the writers are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Annahar.