Sudan’s war and the “Brotherhood Factor”: How new U.S. counterterrorism framing raises the stakes for peace in 2026

Opinion 08-05-2026 | 11:55

Sudan’s war and the “Brotherhood Factor”: How new U.S. counterterrorism framing raises the stakes for peace in 2026

A sharp new U.S. counterterrorism strategy and renewed scrutiny of Islamist networks are intensifying debate over Sudan’s war, military leadership, and the conditions needed to end a conflict that has pushed the state to the brink.

Sudan’s war and the “Brotherhood Factor”: How new U.S. counterterrorism framing raises the stakes for peace in 2026
Abdelfattah al-Burhan attends the extraordinary joint summit of OIC and Arab League leaders in Riyadh, November 11, 2024 (AFP)
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The U.S. counter-terrorism strategy for 2026, released yesterday, provided a precise and decisive description, identifying the "Brotherhood" organization

 

as the intellectual and logistical source of modern terrorism.In the bloody Sudanese context, this strategy does not seem far from reality; rather, it highlights what may be the greatest obstacle to peace: the military leadership’s decision-making being influenced by the dominance of the Sudanese Islamic movement.

 

The continued alliance of the army commander with the ideological organization’s brigades is not merely a military tactic, but a constraint that prevents the war from ending. The Islamic movement in Sudan understands that the end of the fighting means its political and legal demise; hence, it is desperately influencing military decision-making to ensure the continuation of the war.

 

According to the new American vision, the presence of the Brotherhood within the ranks of the Sudanese army becomes a threat that goes beyond local boundaries, directly confronting the country with international counter-terrorism strategies.

 

The bitter truth is that peace will not come to Sudan as long as the “Brotherhood mind” continues to run the operations rooms.

 

Unless the army frees itself from organizational dependency, a prospect that appears distant under the current leadership, the war will continue to burn everything in service of an agenda that does not believe in the state, but in empowerment, even at the cost of the homeland itself.

 

 

Scenes from the war in Sudan. (AFP)
Scenes from the war in Sudan. (AFP)

 

 

The military leadership’s insistence on relying on remnants of the former regime’s Brotherhood and their ideological brigades places the Sudanese army under the guillotine of history; instead of being seen as a protector of the state, it is viewed by the international community as a cover for an “Islamist” project seeking to restore its influence at the expense of national sovereignty.

 

The Islamic movement (Sudan’s Brotherhood) does not fight for the unity of Sudan but for its own survival, knowing that any democratic transition or genuine peace would inevitably mean the end of its cross-border ideological project and the dismantling of its economic and security empire built over three decades of consolidation.

 

When Washington groups the Brotherhood with Al-Qaeda and ISIS, it effectively removes any cover for any authority allied with them. This means that the Sudanese army, under its current leadership, is rapidly pushing the country toward classification as a rogue state, warranting intervention under the clause of “combating terrorist organizations and their branches.”

 

Army Commander Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, by clinging to this alliance, is not only gambling with his political future but also placing the fate of 45 million Sudanese in direct confrontation with the international counter-terrorism framework.

 

The Sudanese crisis has reached a point of stark polarization. One cannot speak of counter-terrorism in the African Sahel or Red Sea security while, in Khartoum, a military leadership operates under the influence of the Islamic movement’s general secretary.

 

The path to peace passes exclusively through the removal of the ideological influence from the military institution.

 

It is certain that the war will not end with a military victory for any side, but it will likely end in the collapse of the state entirely if the army continues to prioritize organizational loyalty over national duty.

 

The army commander must choose: either act as a general for his country, leading it toward peace away from the Brotherhood’s influence, or remain bound to an alliance that will only push Sudan toward further war, isolation, and collapse—and himself down the path of his predecessors, pursued by international justice and the condemnation of his own people.

 

 

 

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by the writers are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Annahar.